Modelling the Potential Public Health Impact of Different COVID-19 Vaccination Strategies with an Adapted Vaccine in Singapore.

BACKGROUND: Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) causing COVID-19 has been a dynamically changing virus, requiring the development of adapted vaccines. This study estimated the potential public health impact alternative vaccination strategies for COVID-19 in Singapore. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: The outcomes of alternative vaccination strategies with a future adapted vaccine were estimated using a combined Markov decision tree model. The population was stratified by high- and standard-risk. Using age-specific inputs informed by local surveillance data and published sources, the model estimated health (case numbers, hospitalizations, and deaths) and economic (medical costs and productivity losses) outcomes in different age and risk subpopulations. RESULTS: Booster vaccination in only the elderly and high-risk subpopulation was estimated to avert 278,614 cases 21,558 hospitalizations, 239 deaths, Singapore dollars (SGD) 277 million in direct medical costs, and SGD 684 million in indirect medical costs. These benefits increased as vaccination was expanded to other subpopulations. Increasing the booster vaccination coverage to 75% of the standard-risk population averted more deaths (3%), hospitalizations (29%), infections (145%), direct costs (90%), and indirect costs (192%) compared to the base case. CONCLUSIONS: Broader vaccination strategies using an adapted booster vaccine could have substantial public health and economic impact in Singapore.

Long-Term effects of COVID-19: a review of current perspectives and mechanistic insights.

Although SARS-CoV-2, responsible for COVID-19, is primarily a respiratory infection, a broad spectrum of cardiac, pulmonary, neurologic, and metabolic complications can occur. More than 50 long-term symptoms of COVID-19 have been described, and as many as 80% of patients may develop ≥1 long-term symptom. To summarize current perspectives of long-term sequelae of COVID-19, we conducted a PubMed search describing the long-term cardiovascular, pulmonary, gastrointestinal, and neurologic effects post-SARS-CoV-2 infection and mechanistic insights and risk factors for the above-mentioned sequelae. Emerging risk factors of long-term sequelae include older age (≥65 years), female sex, Black or Asian race, Hispanic ethnicity, and presence of comorbidities. There is an urgent need to better understand ongoing effects of COVID-19. Prospective studies evaluating long-term effects of COVID-19 in all body systems and patient groups will facilitate appropriate management and assess burden of care. Clinicians should ensure patients are followed up and managed appropriately, especially those in at-risk groups. Healthcare systems worldwide need to develop approaches to follow-up and support patients recovering from COVID-19. Surveillance programs can enhance prevention and treatment efforts for those most vulnerable.

The impact of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines on serotype 19A nasopharyngeal carriage.

Introduction: By preventing nasopharyngeal carriage acquisition among vaccinated persons, and thus reducing transmission, pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) provide protection against pneumococcal vaccine serotypes among unvaccinated individuals. This systematic review assessed PCVs containing serotype 19A or cross-reactive 19F for 19A carriage effects.Areas covered: Peer-reviewed literature was searched for manuscripts published between 1/1/2000 and 06/18/2018 assessing the impact of PCV on 19A carriage.Expert opinion: Fifty-five, 12, and 32 articles were identified for PCV7, PCV10, and PCV13, respectively. In two of four PCV7 randomized controlled trials (RCTs), 19A carriage was significantly higher in PCV7-vaccinated vs control subjects; in two of two PCV10 RCTs, there was no significant difference in 19A carriage and acquisition between PCV10-vaccinated (2 + 1 schedule) vs control subjects, apart from one timepoint (3 + 1 schedule); and one of one RCTs of PCV13 showed significant decreases in 19A carriage and acquisition in PCV13- vs PCV7-vaccinated (3 + 1 schedule) children. These findings were consistent with observational studies in which an increase or no change in 19A carriage was observed in 91% and 67% of PCV7 and PCV10 studies, respectively, whereas 87% of PCV13 studies documented a decrease. Countries in which serotype 19A transmission is substantial should consider the use of vaccines containing serotype 19A.